Price-Prediction on Web3、加密貨幣與區塊鏈技術全面解析

Bitcoin 價格 Prediction: Compilation of Major Analyst Projections

Sat, 25 Apr 2026 15:05:00 +0900

Bitcoin price predictions vary widely. However, forecasts from leading quantitative analysts are grounded in strict on-chain data and macroeconomic trends. We compile the most prominent valuation models and market projections.

Famous Valuation Models

1. Stock-to-Flow (S2F) Model

Values Bitcoin based on digital scarcity (ratio of existing supply against new annual output). It projects long-term valuations exceeding several hundred thousand dollars.

2. On-Chain Metrics (MVRV Z-Score, etc.)

Tracks address activity, long-term HODLer balances, and profit-to-loss ratios. Current indices point to a macro transition from accumulation phases to bullish expansion.

什麼是 Halving? Impact on Bitcoin 價格 and Historical Data

Sun, 01 Feb 2026 13:20:00 +0900

The primary price cycle of Bitcoin is driven by a programmed event known as the “Halving.” Occurring roughly every four years, we analyze the mechanics of the halving and evaluate historical market cycles.

What is the Bitcoin Halving?

A programmed mechanism inside the Bitcoin protocol that cuts the block rewards issued to network miners in half.

Goal: Prevent currency inflation, preserving digital scarcity (limiting output toward the 21M limit).
Timing: Happens every 210,000 blocks mined (roughly every 4 years).

Historical Cycles: Post-Halving Price Trends

Historically, as the issuance rate of new supply drops, the supply-demand balance triggers a major bull run, typically peaking 12 to 18 months post-halving.